22 Jul · 08:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1431
FormWLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1538
FormWLLLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)