22 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1418
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Myszewski
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1398
FormLWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.