Michal Machelski vs Zbigniew Nocun — TT Elite Series

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22 Jul · 04:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Michal Machelski

ELO 1495

3-2Final setsMachelski won

🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun

ELO 1582

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nocun at 68%. The actual result was Michal Machelski 3-2 — the underdog won.

Michal Machelski — profile →Zbigniew Nocun — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Zbigniew Nocun favoured — closing 1.67

Upset

Total 75.5

91 points played

Over

Set handicap

Zbigniew Nocun −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Zbigniew Nocun −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.55

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.75

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Machelski is favoured to win, below means Zbigniew Nocun.

▲ Michal Machelskipre 34% → final 73%

Zbigniew Nocun ▼

Biggest swing 79 ptsMachelski recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games