22 Jul · 09:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1445
FormLLWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1588
FormLWWLL
35%
65%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gajda🌟Gajda covers set handicap as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+143
H2H15-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+143)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-5)