22 Jul · 09:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1393
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Szoltysek
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1361
FormWLLWW
54%
46%
🌟Sulkowski covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Szoltysek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+32
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.