22 Jul · 11:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1455
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gajda
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1401
FormLWWWL
56%
44%
⚡ Cover lean · Gajda🌟Gajda stays under total as favourite 71% (21)
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H19-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)