22 Jul · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GA
🇵🇱Grzegorz Adamiak
ELO 1652
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Nowalinski
MN
🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski
ELO 1733
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
🌟Nowalinski goes over total as favourite 65% (62)
Fair odds · Nowalinski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 45% · 2.22· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+81
H2H21-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)