22 Jul · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1292
FormLLLLL
82%Win chancemodel fair 1.22Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1636
FormLLLWW
18%
82%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 82% · 1.22vsMarket 82% · 1.22· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~71 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
12%
3-2
8%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+344
H2H11-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+344)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-1)