22 Jul · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1458
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1533
FormWLLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H53-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-52)