22 Jul · 17:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GA
🇵🇱Grzegorz Adamiak
ELO 1663
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Rutkowski
MR
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1736
FormWWWLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Rutkowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)