22 Jul · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1642
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Glazowski
KG
🇵🇱Kacper Glazowski
ELO 1671
FormWWLLL
47%
53%
🌟Glazowski goes over total as favourite 72% (47)
Fair odds · Glazowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 45% · 2.22· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+29
H2H26-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.