22 Jul · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1404
FormLWLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1558
FormLLLLW
34%
66%
🌟Hetnar goes over total as favourite 67% (27)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+154
H2H13-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-3)