22 Jul · 12:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1379
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Myszewski
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1434
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H7-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)