22 Jul · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1460
FormLWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1537
FormWWLWW
42%
58%
🌟Gajda covers set handicap as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H48-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)