Aleksander Lilien vs Maciej Nowalinski — TT Elite Series

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22 Jul · 11:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien

ELO 1447

1-3Final setsNowalinski won

🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski

ELO 1726

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nowalinski at 77%. The actual result was Maciej Nowalinski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

Aleksander Lilien — profile →Maciej Nowalinski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Maciej Nowalinski favoured — closing 1.22

Favourite won

Total 74.5

65 points played

Under

Set handicap

Maciej Nowalinski −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Maciej Nowalinski −7.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.36

Under

Exact score

market priced 1-3 at close

3.35

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Aleksander Lilien is favoured to win, below means Maciej Nowalinski.

▲ Aleksander Lilienpre 19% → final 1%

Maciej Nowalinski ▼

Biggest swing 51 pts64 points · 4 games