22 Jul · 23:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1589
FormWLWLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Fomin
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1386
FormLWLLL
71%
29%
🌟Fomin goes over total as favourite 63% (54)
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+203
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+203)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)