22 Jul · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1675
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rutkowski
MR
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1736
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
🌟Jendrzejewski covers set handicap as underdog 62% (61)
Fair odds · Rutkowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H35-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)