22 Jul · 22:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1474
FormWWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Michalik
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1386
FormLWLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)