22 Jul · 21:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1451
FormLWWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1589
FormWLWLW
35%
65%
🌟Fomin goes over total as favourite 63% (54)
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H14-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-4)