22 Jul · 21:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇵🇱Pawel Chojnacki
ELO 1387
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chojnacki
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1386
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Chojnacki rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Chojnacki
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.