22 Jul · 21:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1736
FormWWWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Rutkowski
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1593
FormWWLWL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Rutkowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+143
H2H24-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+143)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-21)