22 Jul · 20:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1675
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kuzmicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1748
FormLWWWW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jendrzejewski🌟Jendrzejewski covers set handicap as underdog 62% (61)
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H17-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-15)