22 Jul · 20:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1589
FormWLWLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Fomin
PC
🇵🇱Pawel Chojnacki
ELO 1387
FormWWLWL
71%
29%
🌟Fomin goes over total as favourite 63% (54)
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+202
H2H14-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+202)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-5)