22 Jul · 19:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1534
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skorupa
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1474
FormWWWLL
57%
43%
🌟Michalik covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+60
H2H12-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)