22 Jul · 19:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GA
🇵🇱Grzegorz Adamiak
ELO 1668
FormWLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Adamiak
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1593
FormWWLWL
58%
42%
🌟Adamiak goes over total as favourite 70% (20)
Fair odds · Adamiak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)