22 Jul · 18:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1474
FormWWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Michalik
PC
🇵🇱Pawel Chojnacki
ELO 1387
FormWWLWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H22-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-16)