22 Jul · 18:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1748
FormLWWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Kuzmicz
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1593
FormWWLWL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+155
H2H15-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-10)