22 Jul · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1534
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Skorupa
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1451
FormLWWWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+83
H2H10-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-4)