22 Jul · 18:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1675
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jendrzejewski
GA
🇵🇱Grzegorz Adamiak
ELO 1668
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Jendrzejewski goes over total as favourite 68% (81)
Fair odds · Jendrzejewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.15· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.