Kamil Smolka vs Rafal Gajda — TT Elite Series

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22 Jul · 12:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Kamil Smolka

ELO 1528

2-3Final setsGajda won

🇵🇱Rafal Gajda

ELO 1476

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smolka at 58%. The actual result was Rafal Gajda 2-3 — the underdog won.

Kamil Smolka — profile →Rafal Gajda — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kamil Smolka favoured — closing 1.8

Upset

Total 80.5

95 points played

Over

Set handicap

Kamil Smolka −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Kamil Smolka −0.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.02

Over

Exact score

market priced 2-3 at close

3.75

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kamil Smolka is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.

▲ Kamil Smolkapre 62% → final 90%

Rafal Gajda ▼

Biggest swing 65 ptsSmolka recovered from 31%72 points · 5 games