Aleksander Lilien vs Grzegorz Poliniewicz — TT Elite Series

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22 Jul · 12:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien

ELO 1446

2-3Final setsPoliniewicz won

🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz

ELO 1653

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 74%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Aleksander Lilien — profile →Grzegorz Poliniewicz — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.5

Favourite won

Total 77.5

95 points played

Over

Set handicap

Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Grzegorz Poliniewicz −4.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.3

Over

Exact score

market priced 2-3 at close

3.9

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Aleksander Lilien is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Aleksander Lilienpre 27% → final 3%

Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼

Biggest swing 66 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 31%72 points · 5 games