22 Jul · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1470
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gajda
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1397
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
⚡ Cover lean · Gajda🌟Gajda stays under total as favourite 71% (21)
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H20-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)