22 Jul · 16:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
GA
🇵🇱Grzegorz Adamiak
ELO 1668
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Glazowski
KG
🇵🇱Kacper Glazowski
ELO 1668
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Glazowski goes over total as favourite 72% (47)
Fair odds · Glazowski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+0
H2H4-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.