22 Jul · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1519
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1583
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🌟Hetnar goes over total as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 78% · 1.29· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+64
H2H39-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-18)