22 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1396
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Wnek
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1330
FormLWWLW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lukaszewski🌟Wnek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (45)
Fair odds · Wnek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H26-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-21)