22 Jul · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1532
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pytlas
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1494
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+38
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.