22 Jul · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1322
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kowalczyk
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1367
FormWLLLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Piecowski🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 89% (18)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)