22 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1522
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Pytlas
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1521
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+1
H2H11-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.