22 Jul · 21:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1582
FormLWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Nocun
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1466
FormLWWWW
63%
37%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)