22 Jul · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1696
FormWWLWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Tkaczyk
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1520
FormLLLWW
68%
32%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 71% (41)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~78 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+176
H2H15-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-12)