Marcin Kowalczyk vs Adrian Fabis — TT Elite Series

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22 Jul · 19:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1403

3-0Final setsKowalczyk won

🇵🇱Adrian Fabis

ELO 1340

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Fabis at 51%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 3-0 — the underdog won.

Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Adrian Fabis — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Fabis favoured — closing 1.52

Upset

Set handicap

Fabis −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Fabis −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

10.5

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Adrian Fabis.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 53% → final 98%

Adrian Fabis ▼

Biggest swing 50 pts51 points · 3 games