22 Jul · 20:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1518
1-3Final setsZemla won
PZ
🇵🇱Piotr Zemla
ELO 1528
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 51%. The actual result was Piotr Zemla 1-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Zemla favoured — closing 1.4
Total 74.5
77 points played
Set handicap
Zemla −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Zemla −6.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Piotr Zemla.
▲ Pawel Kurekpre 47% → final 11%
Piotr Zemla ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts72 points · 4 games