23 Jul · 05:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1171
FormLLLLL
87%Win chancemodel fair 1.15Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1599
FormWWLLW
13%
87%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 87% · 1.15vsMarket 85% · 1.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 74%Total ~73 pts
0-3
43%
1-3
31%
2-3
13%
3-2
6%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+428
H2H15-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+428)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-3)