23 Jul · 04:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1498
FormLLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1589
FormLWWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+91
H2H25-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-15)