23 Jul · 04:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1659
FormWLWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1459
FormLWLLW
71%
29%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+200
H2H43-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+200)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-14)