23 Jul · 05:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1436
FormLLLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1567
FormWLLWL
36%
64%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as favourite 68% (38)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+131
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)