23 Jul · 06:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1450
FormLWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Spychala
AS
🇵🇱Adrian Spychala
ELO 1540
FormWLLLL
40%
60%
🌟Spychala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 17% (18)
Fair odds · Spychala
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)