23 Jul · 07:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1389
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sulkowski
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1366
FormWWLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H9-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.