23 Jul · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1680
FormLWWWW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Tkaczyk
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1447
FormLLLWL
74%
26%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 71% (41)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+233
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+233)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)