23 Jul · 08:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1444
FormLLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1533
FormWLLLL
40%
60%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (25)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H36-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-20)